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Do we really know what Thailand will look like post Covid-19?


Do we really know what Thailand will look like post Covid-19?

This post is also available in: English

It seems an entirety ago when we first heard about a coronavirus outbreak in China. I think most of us looked on in horror but felt we would somehow be protected from this outbreak. How wrong that turned out to be.

Within practically no time we went from curious, doubting the seriousness to the situation to fearful. Some, in my opinion, naively rushed to point out the fact more people were dying from road traffic accidents each day in Thailand and that we were being quarantined unfairly. I think we all have ways of dealing with situations and downplaying the significance of such a virus, a lot must be put down to underestimating just how dangerous a virus like this can be.

Regardless, what cannot be doubted is the devastation this pandemic has had on Thailand. Heartbreaking images of Thai people forced to queue in long, long lines – anything but practicing social distancing – just so they can feed themselves and families. It’s downright tragic. If people cannot afford the basics of food and water, you will have to wonder how this will impact on local crime rates. Desperate people will need to do desperate things.

Business being forced to close, people losing their jobs. Whilst business that remain open are still being unprecedentedly hit.

But here is where I am worried, to what extent can we really start loosening the restrictions when there is no vaccine? At best we can hope to see provinces open for locals, but how can tourist centric locations like Samui, Phuket and Pattaya look to make any form of recovery with no tourists?

At this point, I should just clarify, this is all just my opinion based on what I am being led to believe. The outcome in Thailand over the course of this year could very well be different – but I would need convincing otherwise.

Who will want to get on a plane and do a long haul flight any time soon, I mean what psychological damage has been done to people after their enforced global lock downs? At what point will people be confident to travel again from country to country? Further more, what is the financial damage that has been done that will mean even if people wanted to travel, they just cannot afford too? We have no idea how the aviation industry is even going to emerge, I note Virgin Australia has just gone into voluntary administration as an example.

It is this mass of uncertainties and questions – and all whilst no vaccine is due for at least 12-months – that suggests the road ahead looks to be rocky. Very rocky.

What stumps me is how can we expect any recovery when there is no cure? If we start to get out and about and socialise with others the risk is the whole virus explodes up again. You don’t have to be an expert to recognise this.

Does human instinct force us to become deluded?

None of us have ever experienced this so I am guessing we try and rationalise the situation based only on what we know and come up with our own answers. I think most of us think we have done the self-isolation for a month now, surely that is enough and now we can all go back to normal. But as I sit and rationalise this based on everything I am reading, how can that really be the case?

I read an interesting article where a psychologist explained why we are all probably delusional and it makes a lot of sense when looking at how people are interpreting Covid-19 and the future landscape for our lives over the next 12-months. You can read the article . We like to believe what makes us feel safer and more secure.

Until we get a vaccine, I fear progress will be very slow.


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